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Forthcoming Issue

June 2016

Who’s Ready for ASEAN 2015? Firm Expectations and Preparations in the Philippines

Cesi Cruz, The University of British Columbia, Vancouver, Canada
Prudenciano U. Gordoncillo, University of the Philippines, Los Baños, Philippines
Benjamin A.T. Graham, University of Southern California Dornsife, Los Angeles, USA
Jeanette Angeline B. Madamba, University of the Philippines, Los Baños, Philippines
Jewel Joanna S. Cabardo, University of the Philippines, Los Baños, Philippines

issue_images_89_2_ASEAN Philippines - PA supplied image - 2Keywords: ASEAN; AEC; firms; investment; FDI

Abstract

New new trade theory makes predictions regarding the types of firms most likely to benefit from increases in economic openness. This paper exploits the launch of the ASEAN Economic Community in 2015 to test predictions regarding the types of firms that are optimistic about, and prepared for, increased regional integration. We introduce data from an original survey conducted just prior to the launch of the AEC of over 300 mostly multinational firms operating in the Philippines. We find that a firm’s prior issue_images_89_2_ASEAN Philippines - PA supplied image - 1exposure to other economies in the region is a strong and positive predictor of both optimism and preparation. A firm’s capabilities (i.e., size, profitability, and growth), on the other hand, predict preparation strongly and optimism only weakly. Of particular relevance to policymakers, we also find that a firm’s primary policy demand on the Philippines government is for more information and communication, and that even highly capable firms make this demand. Our findings suggest that, despite outreach efforts by the Philippines government, a lack of information continues to impede firms’ abilities to seize the new opportunities associated with regional integration. Chinese Translation of Abstract – 摘要


Ongoing Rebel Violence in Autonomous Regions: Assam, Northeast India

Chris Wilson, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand

issue_images_89_2_Violence in India - PA supplied imageKeywords: regional autonomy, insurgency, mass killings, post-conflict violence, Assam

Abstract

In the large body of literature on the granting of regional autonomy to end insurgency, an important related question has received little attention: what happens to other ethnic groups within the autonomous region? The new arrangement may end violence between the state and the guerrillas but will the latter simply turn their guns on other groups in the area? This article begins to fill this gap in the literature through a close examination of two mass killings conducted by rebels awarded an autonomous region in western Assam, Northeast India. Why would these militants­—having won such far reaching political and economic rewards after a decade of civil war—continue violence and risk these hard won gains? I propose that violence against other ethnic communities in the new region is more likely in the presence of two main conditions. First, when the community receiving autonomy is a minority in the new region, and second, when only one militant faction is awarded power. Chinese Translation of Abstract – 摘要


Special Section

Introduction: Gender Reforms, Electoral Quotas and Women’s Political Representation in Taiwan, South Korea and Singapore

issue_images_89_2_Tan_Intro_Gender_Politics Netina Tan, McMaster University, Hamilton, Canada

Keywords: Gender quotas, reserved seats, electoral system, political parties, candidate selection, women, East and Southeast Asia

Abstract

In the last two decades, more than 118 countries and political parties around the world have introduced gender quotas to guarantee women’s political representation. While the study of gender quotas and electoral systems is an exciting field, few studies have focused on East Asia. Why do traditionally male-dominated parties engage in gender reforms? Have gender reforms improved women’s political representation and participation? To address these questions, this introductory article offers an overview of the electoral rules, gender quotas, and candidate selection methods adopted in three broadly similar cases with different outcomes in Taiwan, South Korea, and Singapore. Taiwan and South Korea introduced mixed electoral systems and legislated candidate quotas to improve women’s legislative representation at the local and national levels. Singapore resisted legislating gender quotas while the ruling party voluntarily introduced a party quota in 2009. These gender equality strategies have brought slow and uneven results. Based on qualitative and quantitative methods as well as survey and electoral data, this paper offers new evidence showing why the effects of electoral systems and quota strategies are not automatic or mechanical, but dependent on the degree of party system institutionalization, electoral competitiveness, legal enforcement, and social-cultural attitudes toward women. Chinese Translation of Abstract – 摘要


issue_images_89_2_SI - Gender and Office TaiwanReserved for Whom? The Electoral Impact of Gender Quotas in Taiwan

Chang-Ling Huang, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan

Keywords: reserved seats, gender quotas, feminist movement, electoral system, women’s political participation, local elections

Abstract

Since the 1990s, gender quotas in elections have become a global phenomenon. One of the issues raised about gender quotas concerns the qualifications of quota women. A previous study on the experience of France’s Parity Law showed quota women are as competent as or even more competent than non-quota women or non-quota men. The French experience, under the proportional representation system, only allows for a comparison of average qualifications among quota women and their non-quota counterparts.

Taiwan has had reserved seats for women since the 1950s and had a series of increases in the number of these reserved seats in the 1990s. Taiwan’s experience under the SNTV (single non-transferrable vote) electoral system sheds better light on the issue concerning the qualification of quota women. Based on the outcomes of Taiwan’s three local elections in the 2000s, this paper provides a direct comparison of qualifications between women who are elected through reserved seats and the men they unseated. The results show that the majority of women elected through the reserved seats have equal or better qualifications than the men they unseated. Moreover, increasing reserved seats or gender quotas enhances not only women’s political participation but also political competition. Chinese Translation of Abstract – 摘要


Gender Quotas and Candidate Selection Processes in South Korean Political Parties

Source: Korea Women's Political Solidarity

Source: Korea Women’s Political Solidarity

Hyunji Lee, The University of British Columbia, Vancouver, Canada

Ki-young Shin, Ochanomizu University, Tokyo, Japan

Keywords: Gender quotas, candidate selection, clientelism, party institutionalization, women’s political representation, South Korea

Abstract

South Korea is one of the few East Asian countries where candidate gender quotas are legislated for all levels of government. However, the implementation of quotas has been only partially successful as political parties do not comply with quota laws in the majoritarian tier of the country’s mixed-member electoral system. To explain this non-compliance, this article examines how Korea’s party organizations and candidate selection practices have subverted quota implementation. More specifically, we employ Rahat and Hazan’s framework that disaggregates candidate selection processes into four areas­—the selectorate, candidacy, centralization, and voting vs. appointment—and examine how two major Korean parties have chosen their candidates in the last three elections. By doing so, we demonstrate that in Korea’s under-institutionalized parties, where party organizations have been overshadowed by individual personalities, implementation of quotas can easily be subordinated to the clientelistic incentives of party leaders. While the parties’ centralized and exclusionary candidate selection procedures give party leaders a great deal of latitude to implement quotas, a better gender balance in the set of candidates is rarely a top priority for leaders in parties where personalism prevails. We argue this explains why the quotas in Korea have been ineffective. Chinese Translation of Abstract – 摘要


Why Are Gender Reforms Adopted in Singapore? Party Pragmatism and Electoral Incentives

Netina Tan, McMaster University, Hamilton, Canada

Keywords: Gender reforms, party pragmatism, plurality party bloc vote, multi-member constituencies, ethnic quotas, PAP, Singapore

Abstractissue_images_89_2_Tan_Women Politicians Singapore

In Singapore, the percentage of elected women politicians rose from 3.8 percent in 1984 to 22.5 percent after the 2015 general election. After years of exclusion, why were gender reforms adopted and how did they lead to more women in political office? Unlike South Korea and Taiwan, this paper shows that in Singapore party pragmatism rather than international diffusion of gender equality norms, feminist lobbying, or rival party pressures drove gender reforms. It is argued that the ruling People’s Action Party’s (PAP) strategic and electoral calculations to maintain hegemonic rule drove its policy u-turn to nominate an average of about 17.6 percent women candidates in the last three elections. Similar to the PAP’s bid to capture women voters in the 1959 elections, it had to alter its patriarchal, conservative image to appeal to the younger, progressive electorate in the 2000s. Additionally, Singapore’s electoral system that includes multi-member constituencies based on plurality party bloc vote rule also makes it easier to include women and diversify the party slate. But despite the strategic and electoral incentives, a gender gap remains. Drawing from a range of public opinion data, this paper explains why traditional gender stereotypes, biased social norms, and unequal family responsibilities may hold women back from full political participation. Chinese Translation of Abstract – 摘要


All issues include 45+ book reviews
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